Method
How our roadmaps are made
Ten methods of technology foresight, in the order in which we apply them: first observe, then assess, then condense and decide. Every method is disclosed — core idea, procedure, strengths and limits, and where exactly it sits in our roadmaps.
Observe
Finding signals before they are trends — and preparing them so that one can talk about them.
Technology Scanning & Weak Signals
Systematically searching science, patents, markets and the fringes for early hints of technological change — before they become trends.
To the method → 02Technology Radar
The technology radar condenses observations into one shared picture: sectors as technology fields, rings as time horizons, movement as statement.
To the method → 03S-Curve Analysis
The S-curve describes how a technology's performance develops against effort — slowly, then steeply, then flat. And when the next curve takes over.
To the method →Assess
Rating observations: maturity, significance for whom, position in the portfolio.
Technology Lifecycle & ADL Classification
Base, key, pacing and emerging technologies after Arthur D. Little — and why this classification is always relative to an industry.
To the method → 06Maturity Assessment (TRL)
Technology Readiness Levels: nine steps from basic principle to proven series deployment — with stated uncertainty instead of false precision.
To the method → 09Patent & Publication Analysis
Bibliometrics as an early indicator: who is researching, who is patenting, where is activity clustering — and what that says about maturity and competition.
To the method → 10Technology Portfolio Analysis
Technology attractiveness against one's own resource strength: which fields belong in the portfolio, which do not — and with which normative strategy.
To the method →Condense and decide
Assessments become time paths, alternatives and recommendations.
Technology Roadmapping
Roadmapping puts technology, applications and market on one shared timeline — and makes visible what depends on what, and when.
To the method → 07Scenario Technique
Thinking through several structurally contradictory futures — and knowing, for each, the early signs that it is arriving.
To the method → 08Delphi Survey
Condensing expert judgement over several anonymous rounds — with feedback of the group view, and without the loudest voice winning.
To the method →